Upon Jimmy Rollins, MVP?
After several weeks of debate on the MVP candidacy of David Wright vs Matt Holliday, the NL MVP was announced today. The winner...... Jimmy Rollins. I know playoffs are not taken into account in the regular season awards (which is why Josh Beckett and Troy Tulowitzki didn't win at CY Young and NL ROY). However, I STILL think that Matt Holliday was clearly the most valuable player in the National League, which was borne out as they rode to the World Series, ans crushed Rollins' Phillies in the process. So why was Rollins the MVP? Lets go to the stats( both real and made up):
Who had more, and by how much-
Runs: +19 Rollins
Hits: +4 Holliday
Doubles: +12 Holliday
3b: +14 Rollins
HR: + 6 Holliday
BB: +14 Holliday
SB: +30 Rollins
Total Bases: +6 Holliday
Wins Shares: +2 Holliday
Pretty close race so far, right? rollins has the edge in the speed categories, and Holliday in hitting. With total bases and win shares favoring Holliday, I'd probably vote for him by a nose strictly on these numbers. But what about the production numbers you ask? Let's continue....
RBI: +43 Holliday
Avg: +.44 points Holliday
SLG%: + .76 Holliday
OPS: +.136 Holliday
Well, that seems to be a pretty decided advantage statistically, wouldn't you say? Even if you factor in Rollins lead in runs scored, Holliday still accounted for 24 more runs than Rollins.
Also, Rollins recorded 80 more at-bats than Holliday.
Much has been made of the home and away splits for Holliday. He was by all statistical accounts a better offensive player at home than on the road. However, his extrapolated road numbers would still have constituted a good season. In fact, lets look at some simple numbers for Rollins vs Holliday if their home park numbers were removed and they played an entire season with their road numbers
Holliday- .301 23 HR 117 RBI 198 Runs
Rollins- .293 24 HR 94 RBI 140 Runs
Thats a runaway for Holliday. 58 more runs!!! 23 more RBI!! Where's your Coors effect now?
You want more splits, let's look at the playoff run (September and October):
Holliday- 30 runs, 12 HR, 32 RBI
Rollins- 22 Runs, 6 HR, 18 RBI
So who helped their team more down the stretch, when every game counted?
So Jimmy Rollins is the NL MVP. That Gold Glove must count for a hell of a lot.
posted by Charlie at 2:42 PM
2 Comments:
In response to your September 30th post, I stated Rollins 1, Holliday 2, Fielder 3, Wright 4 and Pujols 5 -- not too shabby. That gold glove was a joke and was "earned" with his offense. But he is a decent defensive player and a team leader who put up incredibly dynamic numbers accross the board while playing a defensively challenging position.
As for your Yanks, great trade today. Clippard is nothing special -- a five at best. Probably a 4A player. I've seen the reliever they got for him pitch. Very impressive. Mountain of a man with a great fastball and slider. He has the potential to be a good setup man. Nice trade by CASHman.
Dude, how did you extrapolate 198 runs for Holliday if he played eveyr game on the road? He scored 53 runs on teh road; 67 at home. That should extrapolate to approximately 106 runs.
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